Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.058876 0.066756 0.074891 0.083886 0.093525 0.103514 0.114621
2025-04-27 0.044443 0.055800 0.068226 0.082687 0.098915 0.116436 0.136656
2025-05-04 0.037289 0.050929 0.066563 0.085470 0.107401 0.131751 0.160546
2025-05-11 0.030420 0.045134 0.062760 0.084835 0.111189 0.141146 0.177287
2025-05-18 0.026540 0.042306 0.061912 0.087167 0.118002 0.153683 0.197371
2025-05-25 0.023192 0.039655 0.060865 0.088904 0.123827 0.164870 0.215763
2025-06-01 0.018915 0.035177 0.057013 0.086726 0.124547 0.169735 0.226513
2025-06-08 0.015407 0.031293 0.053538 0.084674 0.125129 0.174206 0.236615
2025-06-15 0.013794 0.029989 0.053396 0.086831 0.130909 0.184948 0.254233
2025-06-22 0.012061 0.028261 0.052482 0.087821 0.135101 0.193684 0.269407
2025-06-29 0.011317 0.028039 0.053664 0.091616 0.142916 0.206941 0.290157
2025-07-06 0.009836 0.026364 0.052565 0.092158 0.146401 0.214741 0.304200
2025-07-13 0.009618 0.027024 0.055166 0.098184 0.157566 0.232773 0.331606
2025-07-20 0.007678 0.024240 0.052325 0.096414 0.158336 0.237691 0.342894
2025-07-27 0.006925 0.023619 0.052806 0.099389 0.165501 0.250827 0.364532
2025-08-03 0.005620 0.021608 0.050862 0.098675 0.167548 0.257318 0.377806
2025-08-10 0.005009 0.020982 0.051145 0.101233 0.174085 0.269649 0.398505
2025-08-17 0.004376 0.020173 0.051032 0.103138 0.179689 0.280761 0.417685
2025-08-24 0.003295 0.017947 0.048230 0.100747 0.179123 0.283655 0.426284
2025-08-31 0.002425 0.015950 0.045626 0.098495 0.178624 0.286546 0.434816
2025-09-07 0.002124 0.015542 0.045944 0.100863 0.184755 0.298300 0.454832
2025-09-14 0.001752 0.014773 0.045495 0.101950 0.189011 0.307542 0.471617
2025-09-21 0.001657 0.014953 0.046917 0.106111 0.197784 0.322922 0.496456